As expected, the Establishment Biden administration has rounded up the usual suspects to fill its defense and foreign policy slots. That means the neo-liberals are back, once again dictating to the rest of the world how it should live. Just as the neocons bamboozled America’s dumbest President, George W. Bush, into invading Iraq to spread “democratic capitalism” to the Middle East, so the neo-libs are pushing the dotty Mr. Biden into confronting Russia and China to promote their brand of patent medicine, more “democracy” (so long as it elects people like them) coupled with such bitter herbs as Feminism and “gay rights.”
But China and Russia are not Iraq. They are nuclear powers with substantial conventional military capabilities. How competent the Chinese are militarily remains to be seen–we may find out the hard way–but the Russians do seem to know what they are doing. They undertook a substantial and effective program of military reform after the Soviet Union fell apart, including learning from Fourth Generation forces around the globe, merging some of their tactics and techniques with those of a conventional army.
Now it appears the neo-libs are maneuvering poor Mr. Biden into a confrontation with the Russians in Ukraine. Do these people even look at a map? Geography says that even with NATO support–no sure thing–we could at most logistically support two or three brigades of American troops in Ukraine. War in the Russian heartland (which geographically includes Ukraine) requires hundreds of divisions. Has anyone in Washington heard about Operation Barbarossa? Probably not, since it wasn’t about expanding “transgender rights”, whatever those are.
The reason Russia is stirring up trouble on Ukraine’s eastern border is that NATO threatens to expand by inviting Ukraine to join. However, NATO rules say that no country with a border dispute can join NATO. So, Russia has given Ukraine a border dispute, which will continue so long as NATO plays footsie with Kiev. Remember, the U.S. promised Gorbachev that if Moscow dissolved the Warsaw Pact, NATO would not expand further east by inviting those countries to join. And then we promptly tossed that promise in the wastebasket and expanded NATO into former Warsaw Pact lands. Why should Moscow trust us again when it comes to expanding NATO?
In addition, Washington has been arming and training the Ukraine armed forces. This is both an offensive act strategically and a foolish policy because it puts American prestige on the line if Ukraine attacks in the east. The last time we played this game, the country we helped arm and train, Georgia, got its butt kicked swiftly and hard by the Russian Army. The same thing will happen if Ukraine mounts an offensive in either its eastern regions, now Russian-controlled, or Crimea.
That’s the point where I fear the neo-libs, who know nothing of war (like the neo-cons), could push President Biden into sending American troops into a hopeless situation. When they all end up in a Russian Kessel–Stalingrad, first as tragedy and then as farce–what’s our next move? Go nuclear?
Against any competent opponent, and the Russian Army should be one, the U.S. Army has a sucking chest wound that a Democratic administration cannot even acknowledge, much less address. What is it? Women, lots of them, scattered throughout the force, including now in combat units. An army full of women is an army that will quickly be in full rout if it finds itself in serious combat. The key factor in whether men fight or not, unit cohesion, is greatly undermined by the presence of women, because instead of forming a “band of brothers” the men see each other as rivals for the women, because that is human nature. The same nature says many of the women will panic. It is a disaster waiting to happen.
Just as the idiot neo-cons gave us a failed war in Iraq, so the neo-libs may trump them (or Trump them, come 2024) by getting us into a militarily impossible situation in Ukraine. We are putting American prestige on the line, step by step, in a place where our defeat-waiting-to-happen Army cannot support with a competent army. How much dumber can you get?