I expect President Trump to be re-elected, probably by a large margin, and the Republicans to hold the Senate and retake the House. Why? Because by this point the number of Americans who are angry is greater than the number who are scared. The Democrats are the party of fear and the Republicans are the party of anger. So the latter will win.
But what if fear does win out and Biden becomes President while the Democrats hold the House and take the Senate? Biden is an old-line Establishment politician who is unlikely to do anything radical on his own initiative. But he will be under pressure from the “woke” alt-Left, radicals in the House, and his own Vice-President to do some very stupid things. If he yields, or if we suddenly find ourselves with a hard-Left broad from California running the country, the Democrats could take some actions that would rip the country apart.
The most obvious is an attempt to take away American citizens’ guns. One Democratic hopeful who tanked early, Beto O’Rourke–it’s no surprise a Cuban sandwich made with boiled potatoes didn’t sell–said, “Are we going to take away your guns? Absolutely!” He’s gone, but that objective remains dear to many Democrats. If they try it, perhaps after packing the Supreme Court and getting their kept justices to rule the Second Amendment does not mean what it says, we would see a massive urban-rural split. One sign that Fourth Generation war is spreading would be checkpoints starting to go up in the countryside, manned by local volunteers. More powerful still would be police and military personnel going over to the side of those saying, “Come and take it.” In a case such as this I would watch for both.
A second possibility would be getting that packed court to overturn freedom of speech by saying “hate speech” is not protected by the Constitution. “Hate” is the cultural Marxists’ term for any defiance of cultural Marxism. So anyone who criticised their ideology or failed to bow before it would be on their way to the gulag. This has already happened in other supposedly “free” countries including Canada, Britain, and France. In Britain, a man was arrested for criticizing Islam. At his trial, he proved that everything he said was straight from the Koran. The judge sent him to prison, ruling that, “Truth is no defense.” Truth is no defense in the country where our liberties originated? Earlier generations of Britons would have ridden that judge out of town on a rail. Americans would not be so meek, I expect, and resistance to loss of free speech could turn violent.
The action most likely to break the country apart would be opening the southern border and saying, “Come one, come all.” ICE would be abolished, the Border Patrol would be told its mission is to rescue wandering immigrants, not expel them, and in Central America millions of people would join caravans rolling north. The Democrats have made no secret of their strategy to overwhelm the votes of native-born Americans with those of immigrants from other cultures, guaranteeing themselves a permanent majority and making the rest of us strangers in our own country.
If they do that, I expect Texas and Arizona, at least, would mobilize their National Guard and send it to the border to hold the line against the invaders. A Democratic President would federalize the Guards and order it home. The Texas and Arizona governors, along with their states’ Adjutant Generals, could refuse the order. At that point, Washington could find itself on the brink. If it allowed its federalization order to be overridden at the state level, it would reveal itself as impotent. If it ordered the regular military to fight the Guard, I think it would refuse. If the generals, their jobs on the line, did order their troops to attack the National Guard, the military itself could fracture, probably on ethnic lines. At that point, the scenario in Thomas Hobbes’ novel Victoria would have become a reality; the federal government would have to let its cultural Marxism de-legitimize the state to the point where America comes apart. Fourth Generation war would no longer be an intellectual construct but a dominating reality. I do not expect any of this to happen because I think President Trump will be re-elected triumphantly. Anger will thumb its nose at fear. If I’m wrong, history may say to our old motto, E Pluribus Unum, “Nevermore!”